First the Bad News
Shalom and a Blessed New Year from Tel Aviv!
We don't know if your area gets the same news as we do. But according to the press in Israel, Saddam Hussein has successfully implemented a number of security measures to prevent UN arms inspectors from finding his massive arsenal of unconventional weapons. A recent front page lead article in the Jerusalem Post claims that Saddam Hussein has completely outwitted the inspectors by a variety of Big Brother procedures. (Nov. 28,1997)
According to Ahmad Allawi, head of the Iraqi Broadcast Corporation, the information wing of exiled Iraqi dissident groups, Saddam is able to stay one step ahead of the UN personnel by means of secret agents who use sophisticated listening devices which monitor their private conversations.
Allawi said that Saddam's intelligence apparatus has concealed microphones in the rooms and offices used by UN Special Commission (UNSCOM) personnel at the Kanat a-Jeish military camp in Baghdad. Bugging equipment also has been installed in the inspectors' private and professional gear. The Kanat a-Jeish camp serves as the UN's headquarters as well as its living quarters.
SADDAM KNOWS WHERE THE UN IS GOING BEFORE THEY GET THERE
We quote from the Jerusalem Post:
"The unit of Iraq's intelligence that regularly spies on UNSCOM was identified by Allawi as "Office 28". It is one of the intelligence apparatus' 32 offices, and is headed by Col. Abdel Khalifa al Duleimi. "Office 28 employs 120 persons, most of whom are disguised as drivers or other ordinary-looking people. They accompany UNSCOM staffers from the moment they leave their base until they return. Therefore, they know every move UNSCOM makes.
"Each agent is equipped with a small transmitter which enables him or her to report exactly where UNSCOM is going. The people at the prospective inspection site are thus able to get ready for the arms inspectors and hide everything that has to be hidden from them.
"Another technique used by Saddam to foil UNSCOM's inspections is to station his Special Republican Guards outside all his palaces and military facilities. These units normally provide security to the Iraqi military establishment. But in UNSCOM's case, their personnel can and do delay the entry of arms inspectors until orders are received from within that the site is clear.
“Simultaneously, the Special Republican Guards notify intelligence of UNSCOM's destination thus making it possible for it to instruct the people working on unconventional weapons projects to leave while those who stay behind conceal or remove all incriminating documents or materials. (Ibid.)
North of Baghdad is a large operation known as "el Hadi project" whose code name is 858. Its purpose is to monitor all incoming and outgoing UNSCOM communications locally and internationally, according to the Jerusalem Post.
"EI Hadi is equipped to listen in on telephone conversations conducted throughout Iraq. In addition, a facility situated in A-Rashidiya, 30 kilometers north of Baghdad, can tune in on the satellites telephones used by UNSCOM. It employs 1,000 persons, he said."
Ahmad Allawi works with the Iraqi National Congress, a group of exiled Iraqi opponents of the Baghdad regime, and gleans his information from fellow Iraqis who fled to the UN-controlled sector of northern Iraq. He also claims secret contact with officials inside the Saddam regime. His radio and television stations are in the far north of Iraq, out of Saddam' s reach.
KISSINGER: THE IRAQ PROBLEM IS NOT GOING TO DISAPPEAR
Henry Kissinger in a lengthy article in the Los Angeles Times, observes that even though the crisis over the expulsion of UN observers from Iraq has temporarily eased, the way that it was handled by the Clinton Administration "has made another, similar crisis highly probable." Though Saddam Hussein is often described as a madman, his strategy to loosen and ultimately overturn the restraints placed upon him by the UN inspection system is in fact quite rational."
The main problem, says Kissinger, is that the US has no set political policy concerning Iraq. Therefore the US cannot act decisively. Kissinger gives the example of the US's response to an alleged Iraqi plot against former president Bush: The administration "announced a nighttime cruise- missile attack on an empty building in Baghdad to avoid civilian casualties." And when Saddam virtually eliminated the leadership of the autonomous Kurdish enclave in north Iraq, established and supported by America, the US did nothing. (Reprinted in J.P., Dec. 7,1997)
"THE US DOESN'T HAVE A REAL STRATEGY"
Since the US lacks determination to force Saddam's concurrence with the UN resolutions, Saddam is slowly but surely working his way free. First of all, the former Gulf coalition is no more. This is due in part, says Kissinger, to the Arab nations' doubts about America's ultimate objectives. The various leaders, with their finely honed sense of survival, fear that, after an ineffectual American response, they would be left alone with a radical Iraq and, later on, with an even more powerful Iran.
Because the US no longer has its Arab coalition, if it were to carry out its threat to attack Iraq, it would have to do so without bases in Saudi Arabia, analysts say. The US would thus have to make its raids from two carriers which would not allow the kind of mass bombing campaign undertaken during the Gulf war. It is doubtful whether any such "war" could dethrone Saddam or eradicate his weapons of mass destruction. (Ibid. Nov. 28,1997)
RUSSIA AND FRANCE GRAVITATE TOWARDS IRAQ AND IRAN
Out of this power vacuum, Russia and France have begun to move in the direction of partnership with Iraq--and are now seen as mediators between the U.S. and Iraq. Furthermore, according to Kissinger, when Clinton's blamed Arab foot-dragging on the alleged intransigence of Prime Minister Binyamin Natanyahu, he dangerously confused this issue. "Countries which were never part of the Gulf coalition may gleefully use this excuse to increase pressure on an Israel in open conflict with its principal ally [the US]. Unwilling to face down Saddam, our [US] diplomacy turned to countries like France and Russia that, having opposed our policy in the Security Council, were assumed to have a standing as mediators." (Ibid., Dec. 7,1997)
The fact that the US is seen as weak and lacking in a coherent policy to contain Iraq, is having a spillover affect on her neighbor Iran. This heavily populated land of the Ayatollahs has much greater destructive potential than Iraq. Iran is looking on in favor, and praising the "emerging Teheran [Iran]-Moscow-Paris axis as a bulwark against the "world arrogance" of America.
What does this all mean? Saddam Hussein is producing his weapons of mass destruction while the world stands helplessly by. Iran, at the same time, is importing virtually every type of weapon offered them from anywhere according to today's paper as we write this article. (Ibid. Dec. 12,1997)
"IRAN WILL HAVE NUCLEAR CAPABILITY BY MARCH"
According to Britain's highly-regarded Jane's Intelligence Review, quoted in the Hebrew paper Ma 'ariv, (Nov. 14, 1997) Iran was, as of November, just four months away from complete nuclear capability. Unless Western countries immediately act to block the transfer of highly-enriched uranium to Iran, Teheran will be capable of implementing their "atomic revolution" in the very near future, Jane's warns. The report also says that in the early 1990's Iraq was on the verge of developing its first nuclear weapon, but was set back by its defeat in the Gulf War. (ICEJ News Service, Jerusalem, Nov. 18, 1997)
Israel's Chief of Staff, Lt. Gen Amnon Lipkin-Shachak, reported that Moscow is aiding Iran in its nuclear power industry, a fact that Russian Foreign Minister Primakov had denied during his visit to Israel. (Arutz-7 News, Nov. 5, 1997)
Meanwhile, Iran is moving quickly to pull itself out of its political isolation, and to put an end to America's dual containment policy vis-à-vis Iraq and Iran. The fabulously successful Islamic conference that Iran hosted in December brought delegates from 55 nations of Africa, Europe, Asia and the Arab world. With mammon the primary criteria for the world's political behavior, most nations are ready to sell arms and goods to Iran in exchange for her oil and business opportunities. The summit is the largest international gathering in Teheran since the 1979 revolution when the Shah was overthrown.
Iran very much wants the US out of the Gulf area. Gracing a huge billboard near the convention center was a sign in English and Arabic, "ISLAM HUMILIATES AND DOWNGRADES THE SUPER POWERS." According to Kissinger, "in all likelihood, we have witnessed only the first stage of a longer crisis." (J.P., Dec. 8, 1997)
IRAN WILL ATTACK ISRAEL IN WAR
A leading expert on superpower involvement in the Middle East, Dr. Yair Hirschfeld of the Haifa University, notes that as Iran is seeking legitimacy and is opening up its doors to its neighbors and even to the US, Israel is going with enormous speed into splendid isolation. (Ibid., Dec. 9, 1997) The reason is, of course, Israel does not want to give up the sliver of land she now holds, a part of the inheritance given to her by God Himself. That claim does not sit well with the powers of this world--not with the US, Europe, Asia, Africa or South America.
The 38th chapter of Ezekiel emphasizes three nations that will join a northern coalition in the last days against Israel: Persia, which of course is Iran; Ethiopia, the central eastern area of Africa situated south of Egypt; and Put, which is northern Africa including Libya. These three nations are Moslem nations. For whatever reasons, Iraq, Syria, Egypt, Lebanon and Jordan are not named in that particular war against Israel, although not appearing on the list does not necessarily preclude their involvement. But Persia is named first among Moslem nations to join that coalition which mounts a mighty attack against Israel. (Verses 1-17) Certainly, many Middle Eastern nations, including Israel, see Iran as the greatest of all potential dangers in the area.
WHY WE MUST PREACH REPENTANCE AND SALVATION TO THE ISRAELI PEOPLE
Help is promised to Jewish people whose names are written in the Book of Life.
And there will be a time of trouble, Such as never was since there was a nation, Even to that time. And at that time your people shall be delivered, Every one who is found written in the book. (Daniel 12:1b)
Messiah is coming for those Jews who are waiting for Him.
So Messiah was offered once to bear the sins of many.
To those [Hebrews] who eagerly wait for Him He will appear a second time, apart from sin, for salvation. (Hebrews 9:28)
God will heal those of Israel who say, "Come let us return to the Lord."
I will go away and return to My place Until they acknowledge their guilt and seek My face; In their affliction they will earnestly seek Me. Come, let us return to the Lord. For He has tom us, but He will heal us. .. (Hosea 5:15-6:1)
The survivors will be the Jews who have called upon God.
And it will come about that whoever calls on the name of the Lord will be delivered; For on Mount Zion and in Jerusalem there will be those who escape, as the Lord has said, Even among the survivors whom the Lord calls. (Joel 2:32)